CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2019-05-12T19:54:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2019-05-12T19:54ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/14748/-1
CME Note: There is no clear signature arrival for this specific CME. The arrival attributed to the 2019-05-13T16:09Z CME is also very weak and difficult to be certain about it.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
----
Predicted Arrival Time: 2019-05-16T09:57Z
Prediction Method: CAT-PUMA
Prediction Method Note:
This is a prediction for the CME at 2019-05-12T20:24 CME Parameters from SOHO LASCO C2 & C3: Onset time: 2019-05-12T20:24 Angular width: 191.2 Average speed: 287.2 km/s Final speed: 495.7 km/s Mass: 1.12e15 g (average value from the model) MPA: 124.5 Solar Wind Parameters from DSCOVR Spacecraft: Bz: -1.376 nT Alpha-Proton Ratio: 0.041 # No observation, use average value in the model Flow Speed: 321.607 km/s Flow Latitude: -2.993 Pressure: 0.250 nPa Flow Longitude: 5.295 Bx: 6.921 nT Temperature: 11879.100 KLead Time: 48.97 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Jiajia Liu (QUB) on 2019-05-14T08:59Z
CCMC
Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME
model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before
performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival
Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with
the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting
forecasters/researchers.
If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.
Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Collection Consent Agreement