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Prediction for CME (2019-05-12T19:54:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2019-05-12T19:54Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/14748/-1
CME Note: There is no clear signature arrival for this specific CME. The arrival attributed to the 2019-05-13T16:09Z CME is also very weak and difficult to be certain about it.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2019-05-16T09:57Z
Prediction Method: CAT-PUMA
Prediction Method Note:

This is a prediction for the CME at 2019-05-12T20:24

CME Parameters from SOHO LASCO C2 & C3:
Onset time: 2019-05-12T20:24
Angular width: 191.2
Average speed: 287.2 km/s
Final speed: 495.7 km/s
Mass: 1.12e15 g (average value from the model)
MPA: 124.5

Solar Wind Parameters from DSCOVR Spacecraft:
Bz: -1.376 nT
Alpha-Proton Ratio: 0.041  # No observation, use average value in the model
Flow Speed: 321.607 km/s
Flow Latitude: -2.993
Pressure: 0.250 nPa
Flow Longitude: 5.295
Bx: 6.921 nT
Temperature: 11879.100 K

Lead Time: 48.97 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Jiajia Liu (QUB) on 2019-05-14T08:59Z

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